Immigration and Border Enforcement
This area covers who may enter the United States, who may work and stay, and the machinery that enforces those rules — visas, the border, detention, and removal. It does not cover naturalisation ceremonies, refugee resettlement abroad, or the labour law that applies to everyone regardless of status.
Where things stand
Immigration policy is set almost entirely at the federal level, but it is carried out by state and county institutions that Congress does not command: local jails hold people for federal authorities, and state agencies decide what documents an immigrant can obtain. The foreign-born population reached 53.3 million in January 2025, 15.4 percent of all residents and the highest share ever recorded, with an unauthorised population estimated at 15.8 million in mid-2024. Border arrivals have since collapsed: encounters at the southwest border fell to 444,000 in fiscal year 2025, and encounters of unaccompanied minors dropped from 110,000 to 29,000 in a single year. Enforcement inside the country moved in the opposite direction. The 2025 reconciliation law appropriated more than 170 billion dollars over four years for border and interior enforcement, 45 billion of it for detention alone. By July 2026 ICE held 65,765 people on an average day, the highest count on record, and 70.6 percent of them had no criminal conviction. Legal immigration is being narrowed at the same time and by different instruments: the cap-subject H-1B selection now weights applicants by wage level, and registrations for the 2027 cap fell 38.5 percent to 211,600. What is contested is no longer whether the border can be controlled — that question was answered in 2025 — but what the enforcement apparatus built for it should now do, and at what price.
Overview
all proposals on the future scale · click a box → proposalworseworsebalancedbettermuch
better
Proposals
2 evaluated · sorted by balance- Better · 0.64 previous scaleSize: smallWeighted H-1B Selection
The lottery that allocated capped H-1B visas now gives applicants between one and four entries according to the wage they are offered.
- Worse · 0.28 previous scaleSize: mediumThe Detention Buildout
Roughly double the immigration detention estate and the removal machinery that feeds it, using the funds appropriated in 2025.
Last reviewed by Claude Opus 5 · September 6, 2026 · 1× AI, not yet reviewed by a human
- September 6, 2026AI reviewClaude Opus 5First evaluation
Area created for the English side: definition, situation and key figures researched against official statistics.
Evaluations are produced with AI support and reviewed on a schedule for new developments; human passes are marked separately.How we review →